5 August 2015
2QCY15 Results Update | Sector: Technology
Hexaware Technologies
BSE SENSEX
27,011
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap. (INR b) / (USD b)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
Avg Val (INR m)/Vol ‘000
S&P CNX
8,182
HEXW IN
300.7
85.3/1.4
335 / 139
12/22/93
453/1979
28.7
CMP: INR284
TP: INR255 (-10%)
Sell
Strong revenue beat led by onsite ramp
Revenue growth back on track:
HEXW’s 2QCY15 revenues grew 5.6% QoQ to
USD121.1m (and 19% YoY), above our estimate of 3.6% growth. While offshore
revenues were flat QoQ, growth in onsite revenues was 9.7% QoQ. That has now
been a trend over the last 5 quarters, in which the CQGR at onsite is 7.9%,
compared to 0.8% at offshore.
ESOP costs and onsite ramp drive lower EBITDA margin:
Onsite-heavy revenues
also drove below-estimate margins – Gross margin excluding ESOP costs was 36%
(+30bp QoQ), v/s our estimate of 36.7%. PAT grew 19% QoQ to INR989m, but was
below our estimate of INR1082m, mainly on account of ESOP charges (INR80m)
and higher effective tax rate of 23.5%, v/s estimate of 22.5%. Payout remained
high, at 61% (Dividend of INR2 per share).
Embarking on “Data-2-Digital” strategy:
HEXW is adopting a two-pronged
approach to win business in the market: [1] In large enterprises, it is only bidding
for deals where it can play the disruptor through cannibalization by providing
savings of 50% or more. Automation is a key tool towards this end, and [2] HEXW
will continue to be a full service operator for the mid-market segment.
Valuations ahead of fundamentals:
While our revenue estimates are up
1.9%/2.3% post the results, the earnings estimates are up only 1% due to ESOP
charges and higher tax rate. At 16.7x CY16E, HEXW continues to enjoy a premium
to even top-tier IT peers, primarily supported by a very healthy payout. However,
our target of INR255 discounts CY16E EPS by 15x, factoring the top-clients
concentration risk. CMP suggests 10% downside to our TP. Maintain
Sell.
Free float (%)
Financials & Valuation (INR b)
Y/E DEC
Sales
EBITDA
PAT
EPS (INR)
EPS Gr. (%)
RoE (%)
RoCE (%)
Payout (%)
P/E (x)
2014 2015E 2016E
25.8
4.8
3.3
10.6
-15.6
25.7
28.2
77.4
26.4
30.4
5.5
4.0
13.3
25.3
30.0
30.1
67.6
21.1
14.4
35.8
6.8
5.1
16.8
26.4
35.9
34.8
69.4
16.7
11.9
EV/EBITDA(x)
16.3
Estimate change
TP change
Rating change
Ashish Chopra
(Ashish.Chopra@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5424
Investors are advised to refer through disclosures made at the end of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on
www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities,
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